Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.
