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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Chesterfield |
33.28% ( -0.58) | 24.02% ( 0.09) | 42.69% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 60.57% ( -0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.29% ( -0.57) | 41.71% ( 0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.89% ( -0.58) | 64.11% ( 0.59) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.49% ( -0.6) | 24.51% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.03% ( -0.86) | 58.97% ( 0.86) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.24% ( -0.01) | 19.76% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.19% ( -0.02) | 51.81% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Chesterfield |
2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.28% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.11% Total : 42.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |