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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 73.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 10.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-2 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
73.07% ( 0) | 16.18% ( 0) | 10.75% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 52.14% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.38% ( -0.01) | 35.62% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.32% ( -0.01) | 57.68% ( 0.01) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.57% ( -0) | 8.43% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.72% ( -0) | 29.28% ( 0.01) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.95% ( -0.01) | 43.06% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.66% ( -0.01) | 79.34% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
2-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.36% 3-0 @ 9.15% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.71% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.66% 4-1 @ 4.77% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.8% 5-1 @ 2.36% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.15% 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) 6-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.8% Total : 73.07% | 1-1 @ 7.57% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.63% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.18% | 1-2 @ 3.19% 0-1 @ 3.06% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 10.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
> League One Full Table |