League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 23, 2021 at 8pm UK
Reebok Stadium
Bolton3 - 0Doncaster
We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Doncaster Rovers
Often a regular in the League One playoff conversation, Doncaster's drop off in form this season has been sharp. League Two football beckons for Rovers if they fail to get their act together, yet three points away to Bolton is not likely to be the place that will start. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 56.38% | 23.88% | 19.74% |
| Both teams to score 48.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
