We said: Republic of Ireland 2-0 Gibraltar
During the qualifying phase for Euro 2016, Ireland stormed to a pair of 7-0 and 4-0 wins over Gibraltar, but the gap was narrowed four years later as the Boys in Green netted just three goals in their subsequent two meetings.
With Kenny's men struggling for inspiration so far, a glut of goals should not be expected this time around either, but we still expect the hosts to belatedly get off the mark against the minnows.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Gibraltar had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Gibraltar win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Republic of Ireland would win this match.
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