MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 13:39:03| >> :60:168:168:
Qarabag
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Tofiq Bahramov adina Respublika stadionu (Baki (Baku))
Leverkusen logo

Qarabag
0 - 1
B. Leverkusen


Medina (25'), Vesovic (35'), Gugeshashvili (90+3'), Bayramov (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Okoh Boniface (90+4' pen.)
Wirtz (68'), Xhaka (69'), Hofmann (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Qarabag FK and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-1 Qarabag
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa League
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Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Qarabag FK 1-4 Bayer Leverkusen

While Qarabag are capable of defeating the majority of opposition on home territory, they may struggle to contain a free-flowing Leverkusen. We feel that the visitors will make a fast start to this contest and ultimately cruise to victory and qualification in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Qarabag FKDrawBayer Leverkusen
25.77% (-0.502 -0.5) 22.42% (-0.272 -0.27) 51.82% (0.776 0.78)
Both teams to score 61.24% (0.47499999999999 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.36% (0.845 0.84)38.64% (-0.842 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.06% (0.888 0.89)60.94% (-0.88500000000001 -0.89)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (0.077999999999989 0.08)27.89% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (0.097000000000001 0.1)63.51% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.93% (0.571 0.57)15.07% (-0.567 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.41% (1.066 1.07)43.59% (-1.062 -1.06)
Score Analysis
    Qarabag FK 25.77%
    Bayer Leverkusen 51.82%
    Draw 22.41%
Qarabag FKDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 6.48% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-0 @ 5.37% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-0 @ 3.43% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.46% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 25.77%
1-1 @ 10.15% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.2% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.41%
1-2 @ 9.61% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 7.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 6.06% (0.13 0.13)
0-3 @ 4.75% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.87% (0.09 0.09)
1-4 @ 2.87% (0.116 0.12)
0-4 @ 2.25% (0.087 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.83% (0.078 0.08)
1-5 @ 1.09% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 51.82%

How you voted: Qarabag vs B. Leverkusen

Qarabag FK
11.7%
Draw
14.9%
Bayer Leverkusen
73.4%
94
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
B. Leverkusen
5-1
Qarabag
Wirtz (4'), Grimaldo (29', 54'), Okoh Boniface (35'), Tapsoba (57')
Wirtz (15'), Andrich (43')
Bayramov (16' pen.)
Andrade (19'), Romao (45+1'), Cafarquliyev (77')
rhs 2.0
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