Lazio2 - 1Midtjylland
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, October 23 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
for
We said: Lazio 2-1 FC Midtjylland
As well as flying high domestically, Lazio are generally a formidable force at home in the Europa League - though four of their last six continental clashes in Rome have finished level. Due to Sarri's squad rotation, it may be a close-run contest to begin with, but the Aquile should ultimately soar past the Wolves. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.18%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 24.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.21%), while for a FC Midtjylland win it was 0-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lazio in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lazio.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
46.18% ( 0.19) | 29.67% ( -0.04) | 24.15% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 38.86% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.99% ( 0.03) | 67.01% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.73% ( 0.02) | 85.27% ( -0.02) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.63% ( 0.12) | 29.37% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.65% ( 0.14) | 65.35% ( -0.14) |
| FC Midtjylland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.01% ( -0.13) | 44.99% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.08% ( -0.1) | 80.92% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
| 1-0 @ 16.18% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.34% Total : 46.17% | 0-0 @ 13.21% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.37% Total : 29.67% | 0-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 24.15% |
