Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Lazio |
49.77% ( 0.1) | 23.8% ( -0.03) | 26.43% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 57.06% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.55% ( 0.09) | 44.44% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.18% ( 0.09) | 66.81% ( -0.09) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.05% ( 0.07) | 17.95% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.22% ( 0.13) | 48.77% ( -0.13) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.54% ( -0) | 30.46% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.33% ( -0) | 66.67% |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Lazio |
2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.61% Total : 49.77% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 26.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Juventus | 18 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 32 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
9 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
10 | Roma | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
11 | Empoli | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Torino | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
13 | Genoa | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 19 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
15 | Parma | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 18 |
16 | Como | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
17 | Lecce | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 16 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
19 | CagliariCagliari | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 10 |
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