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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Conference League | Group Stage
Nov 25, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Winner Stadium

Maccabi Tel Aviv
3 - 2
Luhansk

Zahavi (45+1'), Peretz (46', 60')
van Overeem (52'), Revivo (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Guerrero (71'), Horbach (88')
Jordan (50'), Myshnyov (65'), Bol (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Europa Conference League clash between Maccabi Tel Aviv and Zorya Luhansk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maccabi Tel Aviv

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Luhansk 1-3 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Luhansk 1-2 Cherkasy
Sunday, November 12 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League

We said: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-1 Zorya Luhansk

 A Zorya victory would be a game-changer in the group, as it would put them back into the ascendancy in second, and they did enough to suggest they can claim a result in the reverse, despite losing 3-1. Without familiar home comforts, it is unclear how Maccabi will respond as many of their Israeli representatives struggled over the last week on the international stage, and this is set to be a close encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 68.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 12.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.

Result
Maccabi Tel AvivDrawZorya Luhansk
68.92% (0.146 0.15) 18.23% (-0.064 -0.06) 12.85% (-0.081 -0.08)
Both teams to score 51.66% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.23% (0.108 0.11)39.77% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.88% (0.111 0.11)62.12% (-0.11 -0.11)
Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.52% (0.066999999999993 0.07)10.48% (-0.065 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.88% (0.149 0.15)34.12% (-0.148 -0.15)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.71% (-0.055 -0.05)42.29% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.32% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)78.68% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Maccabi Tel Aviv 68.91%
    Zorya Luhansk 12.85%
    Draw 18.23%
Maccabi Tel AvivDrawZorya Luhansk
2-0 @ 11.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.48% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.3% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.78% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 4.11% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.16% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.86% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 68.91%
1-1 @ 8.61% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.23%
0-1 @ 3.82% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.7% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 12.85%

How you voted: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Luhansk

Maccabi Tel Aviv
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Zorya Luhansk
12.5%
24
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Luhansk
1-3
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Alefirenko (74')
Snurnitsyn (49')
Luckassen (7'), Peretz (26', 43')
Luckassen (56'), Cohen (86')
rhs 2.0
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