Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 7pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
Lugano0 - 2Be'er Sheva
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Lugano and Hapoel Be'er Sheva.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Winterthur 1-4 Lugano
Sunday, July 31 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Sunday, July 31 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Sion | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 6 | Lugano | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Basel | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 0-1 Be'er Sheva
Thursday, July 28 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 28 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.75%) and 3-1 (5.49%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
44.85% ( -0.06) | 22.08% ( 0.03) | 33.06% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 67.81% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
