We said: Hearts 1-0 Rigas Futbola Skola
RFS will almost certainly come to Tynecastle and sit back and hope for opportunities on the counter-attack, but this did not work as well in Istanbul as it did in Florence.
Hearts have been woeful at home of late, but did show a lot of fight and quality in netting three times against Celtic at the weekend, so they should be able to see off the Latvian side here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Rigas Futbola Skola win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hearts in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hearts.
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