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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 60.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 17.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
60.56% | 21.54% | 17.9% |
Both teams to score 52.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.44% | 44.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.07% | 66.93% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.74% | 14.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.96% | 42.04% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.47% | 38.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.73% | 75.27% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
1-0 @ 10.7% 2-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 6.45% 4-0 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-2 @ 1.5% 5-0 @ 1.28% 5-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.76% Total : 60.56% | 1-1 @ 10.2% 0-0 @ 5.49% 2-2 @ 4.74% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.54% | 0-1 @ 5.24% 1-2 @ 4.87% 0-2 @ 2.5% 1-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.23% Total : 17.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |