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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
FC Utrecht

Ajax
3 - 1
Utrecht

Bergwijn (20'), Brobbey (68'), Klaassen (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Douvikas (49')
Douvikas (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 2-3 Ajax
Tuesday, May 16 at 2pm in Eredivisie

FC Utrecht

All competitions
Last Game: Utrecht 2-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, May 13 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 2-0 FC Utrecht

 With Utrecht having built up a head of steam of late, this could prove to be a tricky encounter for Ajax when they are under pressure. However, rediscovering their goalscoring touch last time out can only benefit them, and we feel that the home side should run out the victors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 69.34%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 13.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 3-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawFC Utrecht
69.34% (0.547 0.55) 16.88% (-0.14 -0.14) 13.79% (-0.4 -0.4)
Both teams to score 59.89% (-0.628 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.34% (-0.268 -0.27)30.66% (0.276 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.02% (-0.323 -0.32)51.98% (0.333 0.33)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92% (0.051000000000002 0.05)8% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.8% (0.116 0.12)28.21% (-0.106 -0.11)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.1% (-0.714 -0.71)34.9% (0.722 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.36% (-0.764 -0.76)71.64% (0.77200000000001 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 69.34%
    FC Utrecht 13.79%
    Draw 16.88%
AjaxDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.91% (0.174 0.17)
3-1 @ 7.89% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.5% (0.163 0.16)
1-0 @ 7.05% (0.123 0.12)
4-1 @ 4.98% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.74% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 4.15% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.62% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.52% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.39% (0.062 0.06)
5-2 @ 1.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.06% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.01% (0.028 0.03)
4-3 @ 0.92% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 69.34%
1-1 @ 7.42% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-0 @ 2.79% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 16.88%
1-2 @ 3.91% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-1 @ 2.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.55% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 13.79%

How you voted: Ajax vs Utrecht

Ajax
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
FC Utrecht
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 11.15am
gameweek 4
Utrecht
0-2
Ajax

Boussaid (54'), Dost (88')
Berghuis (10'), Brobbey (45+1')
Maduro (35'), Rensch (36'), Tadic (70')
Jan 16, 2022 11.15am
gameweek 17
Utrecht
0-3
Ajax

Maher (20'), Boussaid (45+1')
Antony (5'), Brobbey (19', 45+2')
Mazraoui (65')
Oct 3, 2021 1.30pm
gameweek 7
Ajax
0-1
Utrecht

Gravenberch (50')
Warmerdam (77')
van der Maarel (38'), Paes (63'), Maher (67'), Maduro (79')
Apr 22, 2021 5.45pm
gameweek 21
Ajax
1-1
Utrecht
Alvarez (70')
Kudus (53'), Tagliafico (87')
Gustafson (13' pen.)
Nov 8, 2020 11.15am
gameweek 8
Utrecht
0-3
Ajax
Klaassen (62'), Tadic (71' pen.), Promes (90+1')
Tadic (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV19151362184446
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1912433629740
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ19104533191434
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard197482632-625
9NAC BredaNAC Breda1981102332-925
10Heerenveen197392135-1424
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II196582426-223
13PEC Zwolle195591928-920
14Heracles184682134-1318
15Groningen184591528-1317
16Sparta RotterdamSparta192891628-1214
17Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1915132044-248
> Eredivisie Full Table


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