Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 57.48%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 21.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
