EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Ipswich6 - 0Northampton
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Ipswich Town and Northampton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 Barnsley
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 6 | 8 | 14 |
2 | Ipswich Town | 6 | 8 | 14 |
3 | Sheffield Wednesday | 6 | 7 | 13 |
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Doncaster
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Stevenage | 6 | 3 | 13 |
6 | Northampton Town | 6 | 2 | 11 |
7 | Crewe Alexandra | 6 | 2 | 11 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
45.17% ( 0.55) | 26.05% ( -0) | 28.77% ( -0.55) |
Both teams to score 51.57% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.53% ( -0.27) | 52.47% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.86% ( -0.23) | 74.14% ( 0.22) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.84% ( 0.14) | 23.16% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.96% ( 0.21) | 57.04% ( -0.21) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.12% ( -0.55) | 32.88% ( 0.54) |