EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Wrexham1 - 0Wigan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wrexham 3-5 MK Dons
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Derby 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
We say: Wrexham 1-2 Wigan Athletic
With the league priority for Wrexham and Wigan, both sides could make changes for Tuesday's EFL Cup tie, but we still think that the Latics will have enough quality in their lineup to edge out the League Two side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 22.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
56.79% ( -0.01) | 21.13% | 22.08% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 61.3% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.45% ( 0) | 36.55% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.3% ( 0) | 58.7% ( -0) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.2% ( -0) | 12.79% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.89% ( -0) | 39.11% ( 0) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.29% ( 0) | 29.7% ( -0.01) |