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Brighton logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 22, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Swansea logo

Brighton
2 - 0
Swansea

Connolly (33', 38')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Williams (45'), Downes (73'), Cooper (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSwansea City
47.07%26.3%26.62%
Both teams to score 49.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.35%54.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.01%75.98%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79%23.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89%57.1%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25%35.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48%72.51%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 47.07%
    Swansea City 26.62%
    Draw 26.3%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 12.11%
2-1 @ 9.11%
2-0 @ 8.85%
3-1 @ 4.43%
3-0 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 47.07%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 8.29%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 8.53%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 4.39%
1-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 26.62%

How you voted: Brighton vs Swansea

Brighton & Hove Albion
77.9%
Draw
12.1%
Swansea City
10.0%
140
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Brighton
4-1
Swansea
Murray (18' pen., 69'), Knockaert (73'), Locadia (90')
Murray (63')
Dunk (85' og.)
Nov 4, 2017 3pm
May 3, 2008 3pm
Sep 29, 2007 3pm
Swansea
0-0
Brighton
Orlandi (75'), Anderson (83')
O'Callaghan (13'), Revell (80')
Apr 21, 2007 3pm
Swansea
2-1
Brighton
Duffy (21', 41')
Gueret (50')
Revell (14')
Mayo (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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