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Lyon
Coupe de France | Quarter-Finals
Feb 28, 2023 at 8.10pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Lyon
2 - 1
Grenoble

Barcola (24'), Jeffinho (38')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sbai (74')
Bambock (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coupe de France clash between Lyon and Grenoble, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Angers 1-3 Lyon
Saturday, February 25 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Grenoble

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Grenoble 0-0 Le Havre
Saturday, February 25 at 2pm in Ligue 2

We said: Lyon 0-0 Grenoble (Lyon advances on penalties)

 If Lacazette is unavailable, Grenoble might have an easier time containing the Lyon attack. However, the experience of OL in these big matches has us leaning towards them to keep their cool in pressure situations and eventually prevail. As good as this run has been for Grenoble, they have not faced a side who are at the level of Olympique Lyonnais, so despite how well organised they have been defensively, we do not expect them to create many chances in possession. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Grenoble had a probability of 18.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Grenoble win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawGrenoble
59.86% (0.434 0.43) 21.77% (-0.199 -0.2) 18.37% (-0.23 -0.23)
Both teams to score 52.87% (0.225 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.2% (0.514 0.51)44.8% (-0.509 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.84% (0.493 0.49)67.16% (-0.48999999999999 -0.49)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.44% (0.31100000000001 0.31)14.56% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.39% (0.591 0.59)42.62% (-0.588 -0.59)
Grenoble Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.88% (0.042999999999999 0.04)38.13% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.11% (0.041999999999998 0.04)74.89% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 59.85%
    Grenoble 18.37%
    Draw 21.77%
LyonDrawGrenoble
1-0 @ 10.69% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 10.3%
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.62% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.38% (0.075 0.08)
4-0 @ 3.19% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.08% (0.069 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.035 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.04 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 59.85%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.77%
0-1 @ 5.35% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-2 @ 4.97% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.58% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 18.37%

How you voted: Lyon vs Grenoble

Lyon
84.1%
Draw
8.7%
Grenoble
7.2%
69
rhs 2.0
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