MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 12:31:12| >> :60:207:207:
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Nov 19, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade Valette
Saint Kitts and Nevis national football team

Guadeloupe
5 - 0
Saint Kitts

Phaeton (19'), Arconte (74', 90'), Bevis (76'), Roussillon (80')
Phaeton (34'), Arconte (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sterling-James (22'), Burley (27'), Panayiotou (57')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Guadeloupe and Saint Kitts and Nevis.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Sint Maarten 0-2 Guadeloupe
Thursday, November 16 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Saint Kitts 0-0 St Lucia
Thursday, November 16 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 64.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 15.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guadeloupe would win this match.

Result
GuadeloupeDrawSaint Kitts and Nevis
64.85% (-0.931 -0.93) 19.62% (0.597 0.6) 15.53% (0.333 0.33)
Both teams to score 54.07% (-1.332 -1.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.79% (-2.129 -2.13)40.21% (2.129 2.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.42% (-2.233 -2.23)62.58% (2.234 2.23)
Guadeloupe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.33% (-0.86200000000001 -0.86)11.67% (0.861 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.27% (-1.883 -1.88)36.74% (1.883 1.88)
Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.22% (-0.901 -0.9)38.78% (0.902 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.48% (-0.864 -0.86)75.52% (0.864 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Guadeloupe 64.85%
    Saint Kitts and Nevis 15.53%
    Draw 19.62%
GuadeloupeDrawSaint Kitts and Nevis
2-0 @ 10.44% (0.31 0.31)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.055 0.05)
1-0 @ 9.72% (0.612 0.61)
3-0 @ 7.48% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.08% (-0.212 -0.21)
4-0 @ 4.02% (-0.164 -0.16)
4-1 @ 3.81% (-0.253 -0.25)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.186 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.168 -0.17)
5-0 @ 1.73% (-0.134 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.171 -0.17)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 64.85%
1-1 @ 9.21% (0.366 0.37)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.431 0.43)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.62%
1-2 @ 4.36% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.29% (0.312 0.31)
0-2 @ 2.03% (0.101 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 15.53%

Head to Head
Sep 8, 2023 12am
League B
Saint Kitts
1-2
Guadeloupe
Williams (45+1')
Freeman (12'), Clarke (43'), Sommersall (63'), Mitchum (66'), Burley (68'), Roberts (68')
Sommersall (72')
Archimede (24'), Arconte (77')
Baron (43'), Arenate (53'), Avinel (58'), Phaeton (68')
rhs 2.0
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