MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 15:25:21| >> :600:45797574:45797574:
Jamaica national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 3, 2023 at 12am UK
Levi's Stadium
Saint Kitts and Nevis national football team

Jamaica
5 - 0
Saint Kitts

Archibald (30' og.), Russell (45+2'), Bernard (49'), Johnson (72'), Burke (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Roberts (48'), Lewis (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Jamaica and Saint Kitts and Nevis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jamaica

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Jamaica 4-1 Trin. & Tob.
Thursday, June 29 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Saint Kitts and Nevis

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Saint Kitts 0-6 USA
Thursday, June 29 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

We said: Jamaica 5-0 Saint Kitts and Nevis

 Unlike most squads at this tournament, Jamaica have brought in most of their top-end talent and given that first place is still up for grabs, they might have to be cold blooded in front of goal this weekend. Saint Kitts rarely seem to be able to string together even three passes as they have been overwhelmed by the array of talent they are facing, while they have shown little quality when in possession themselves. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 5-0 win for Jamaica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Jamaica.

Result
JamaicaDrawSaint Kitts and Nevis
47.35% (6.861 6.86) 26.01% (-0.535 -0.54) 26.64% (-6.326 -6.33)
Both teams to score 50.23% (-1.671 -1.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.49% (-0.601 -0.6)53.51% (0.601 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.97% (-0.509 -0.51)75.03% (0.509 0.51)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (3.106 3.11)22.59% (-3.105 -3.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.79% (4.414 4.41)56.2% (-4.415 -4.42)
Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.89% (-4.962 -4.96)35.11% (4.962 4.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.14% (-5.565 -5.57)71.86% (5.566 5.57)
Score Analysis
    Jamaica 47.35%
    Saint Kitts and Nevis 26.64%
    Draw 26.01%
JamaicaDrawSaint Kitts and Nevis
1-0 @ 11.8% (1.28 1.28)
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.611 0.61)
2-0 @ 8.78% (1.625 1.63)
3-1 @ 4.55% (0.671 0.67)
3-0 @ 4.35% (1.112 1.11)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.055 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.69% (0.375 0.38)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.518 0.52)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 47.35%
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.185 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.334 -0.33)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.986 -0.99)
1-2 @ 6.46% (-1.104 -1.1)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-1.225 -1.23)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.77 -0.77)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.378 -0.38)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.71 -0.71)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 26.64%

How you voted: Jamaica vs Saint Kitts

Jamaica
100%
Draw
0.0%
Saint Kitts and Nevis
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2018 1am
International Friendlies
Saint Kitts
1-3
Jamaica
Hanley (54')
Elliott (22' og.), McCarthy (24'), Marsh (36')
Brown (85')
rhs 2.0
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