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CONCACAF Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 1, 2024 at 2.15am UK
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
2 - 1
America

Rodriguez (13'), Deossa (14')
Cabral (49+3'), Berlanga (63'), Micolta (77'), Pedraza (84'), Gonzalez (86+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Martin (17')
dos Santos (50'), Juarez (58'), Lichnovsky (71')
Reyes (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Champions Cup clash between Pachuca and Club America, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pachuca

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Pachuca 1-1 Mazatlan
Sunday, April 28 at 2.10am in Liga MX

Club America

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Puebla 1-2 America
Saturday, April 27 at 2am in Liga MX

We said: Pachuca 0-1 Club America (Club America advances 2-1 on aggregate)

 While they held their ground in the opening leg of this tie, Pachuca are in a precarious position heading into this encounter, and we believe that may play into the hands of the visitors, who have fared well away from home of late and have the attacking depth needed to make the difference. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 37.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
PachucaDrawClub America
37.56% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 24.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 37.96% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 59.68% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.81% (0.043999999999997 0.04)43.19% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.41% (0.045999999999999 0.05)65.59% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (0.037999999999997 0.04)22.85% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (0.055999999999997 0.06)56.58% (-0.055 -0.05)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.35% (0.007000000000005 0.01)22.64% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.72% (0.011000000000003 0.01)56.28% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 37.56%
    Club America 37.96%
    Draw 24.48%
PachucaDrawClub America
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-0 @ 7.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.12% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 37.56%
1-1 @ 11.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.48%
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 7.69% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.83% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.55%
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 37.96%

How you voted: Pachuca vs America

Pachuca
25.0%
Draw
15.6%
Club America
59.4%
32
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2024 3.15am
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
America
1-1
Pachuca
Zendejas (12')
Zendejas (39'), Jardine (40'), Lichnovsky (90+3')
Micolta (40')
Rodriguez (48'), Sanchez (58'), Berlanga (62')
> Preview
Feb 18, 2024 1am
Gameweek 7
Pachuca
2-1
America
Sanchez (56', 76')
Cabral (29'), Berlanga (80'), Pedraza (80'), Sanchez (90+5')
Quinones (66')
Lichnovsky (81')
Oct 4, 2023 4am
Gameweek 11
America
4-0
Pachuca
Martin (42'), Zendejas (59'), Quinones (87'), Rodriguez (90+4')
Juarez (21'), Fidalgo (54')

Cabral (41'), Montiel (51'), Sanchez (90+1')
Mar 5, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 10
America
0-3
Pachuca
Lopez (4'), Hernandez (10'), De la Rosa (28')
Aug 18, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 9
Pachuca
0-3
America
Ibanez (10'), Tapias (20'), Hernandez (71')
Ibarra (42')
Valdez (28'), Lara (90')
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