Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Tianjin Tianhai had a probability of 19.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Tianjin Tianhai win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou Evergrande would win this match.
