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Championship | Gameweek 23
Jan 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
Liberty Stadium
Watford logo

Swansea
2 - 1
Watford

Lowe (43', 67')
Guehi (21'), Bidwell (33'), Grimes (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cleverley (20')
Chalobah (42'), Masina (90')

The Match

Match Report

The Swans move above Brentford into the automatic promotion places.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 36.32%. A win for Watford had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 2-1 (7.11%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (12.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawWatford
36.32%30.42%33.26%
Both teams to score 40.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.55%66.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.11%84.89%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.08%34.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.34%71.66%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.96%37.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.17%73.83%
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 36.31%
    Watford 33.25%
    Draw 30.41%
Swansea CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 13.6%
2-0 @ 7.16%
2-1 @ 7.11%
3-0 @ 2.51%
3-1 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 36.31%
1-1 @ 13.51%
0-0 @ 12.93%
2-2 @ 3.53%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 30.41%
0-1 @ 12.84%
1-2 @ 6.71%
0-2 @ 6.38%
1-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 33.25%

How you voted: Swansea vs Watford

Swansea City
58.6%
Draw
15.7%
Watford
25.7%
70
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2019 7.45pm
Third Round
Watford
2-1
Swansea
Welbeck (28'), Pereyra (79')
Pereyra (91')
Surridge (34')
Grimes (93')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Carrillo (11')
Carrillo (30'), Doucoure (80'), Prodl (82'), Zeegelaar (89')
Ayew (86'), Narsingh (91')
Fernandez (3'), Carroll (34')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Swansea
1-2
Watford
Abraham (56')
Bony (82')
Gray (13'), Richarlison (90')
Capoue (34'), Doucoure (45'), Richarlison (90')
Oct 22, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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