Championship | Gameweek 45
May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK
Liberty Stadium
Swansea2 - 1Derby
The Match
Match Report
The Rams were beaten 2-1 at Swansea.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Derby County |
| 43.03% | 27.53% | 29.43% |
| Both teams to score 47.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
