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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Loftus Road
Luton Town

QPR
2 - 0
Luton

Willock (10'), Austin (55')
Dozzell (59'), Austin (75'), Dickie (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lansbury (13'), Bradley (54'), Adebayo (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Queens Park Rangers and Luton Town square off on Friday evening knowing that a win will leave them in the Championship playoff positions at the end of the night. At a time when the home side are unbeaten in their last three fixtures, the visitors have suffered two defeats during the same period.

Match preview

Despite collecting five points from a possible nine in the Championship, Mark Warburton will be far from satisfied with the latest efforts of his QPR side. The Hoops conceded a last-minute equaliser to draw with Nottingham Forest, while they also failed to hold onto a lead at Blackpool last time out. Although they still sit in sixth spot, there is a feeling of what could have been, and Warburton will hope that his players are ready to rediscover their clinical streak in the final third. Even though they have scored just one goal in each of their last six outings, QPR still possess the joint-third best attacking record in the division. Nevertheless, Lyndon Dykes has netted only one strike in six outings, while Andre Gray finally ended a six-week wait for a goal against Cardiff City earlier this month. Like with their hosts, there is a sense of frustration at Luton with the Hatters having dropped down to 11th position before the international break. In the grand scheme of things, collecting 24 points from 17 matches is a respectable return, but Nathan Jones's side will feel that they should have more points to their name. Despite Luton prevailing in half of their last eight games, recent defeats to Preston North End and Stoke City have increased the pressure ahead of their return to action. While they will progress past their next opponents and into sixth spot with a win, another setback will leave them susceptible to dropping into mid-table by the end of the weekend. Their only goals during seven halves of football came during a five-minute spell against Middlesbrough at the start of the month.
Queens Park Rangers Championship form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
Queens Park Rangers form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D
Luton Town Championship form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L

Team News

Stefan Johansen is expected to return to the QPR starting lineup after missing the Blackpool fixture through illness. Charlie Austin may be handed an opportunity ahead of Dykes, who was absent from Scotland's win over Denmark on Monday night. Jones must decide whether to hand a recall to Fred Onyedinma, potentially as a replacement for Allan Campbell. Jordan Clark and Luke Berry, who has been absent since October 23, are also pushing to feature in the Luton XI, while Cameron Jerome will hope for a recall in the final third. Queens Park Rangers possible starting lineup: Dieng; Dickie, Dunne, Barbet; Adomah, Dozzell, Johnsen, Odubajo; Chair, Willock; Austin Luton Town possible starting lineup: Sluga; Burke, Bradley, Naismith; Bree, Osho, Mpanzu, Bell; Cornick, Adebayo, Onyedinma

We said: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Luton Town

Matches after the international break can often be unpredictable, and that is the case here. However, on the back of losing just one of eight home games this season, we have to back the home side to win a tight encounter by a narrow margin.
Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawLuton Town
45.71%25.99%28.29%
Both teams to score 51.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.54%52.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.87%74.13%
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.1%22.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.34%56.65%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.76%33.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.15%69.85%
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 45.71%
    Luton Town 28.29%
    Draw 25.98%
Queens Park RangersDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.21%
2-1 @ 9.11%
2-0 @ 8.27%
3-1 @ 4.48%
3-0 @ 4.06%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 45.71%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 7.61%
2-2 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.98%
0-1 @ 8.38%
1-2 @ 6.81%
0-2 @ 4.62%
1-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 1.84%
0-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 28.29%

How you voted: QPR vs Luton

Queens Park Rangers
73.3%
Draw
18.5%
Luton Town
8.2%
195
Head to Head
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
QPR
3-1
Luton
Austin (20'), Johansen (60'), Adomah (90')
Austin (1')
Dewsbury-Hall (43')
Rea (45')
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Gameweek 23
Luton
0-2
QPR
Austin (39'), Bonne (88')
Bonne (89')
Jul 14, 2020 7.45pm
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Luton
1-1
QPR
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
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QPR
3-2
Luton
Eze (3'), Wells (20', 28')
Kane (47'), Hall (92')
Cornick (36'), Collins (48')
Shinnie (65')
Apr 9, 2007 3pm
QPR
3-2
Luton
Blackstock (41', 81' pen.), Furlong (90')
Bolder (50')
Bell (45', 51')
Andrew (78'), Heikkinen (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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