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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Birmingham logo

QPR
2 - 1
Birmingham

Cook (65'), Dunne (90+2')
Hayden (58'), Colback (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bacuna (62')
Laird (47'), Roberts (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 0-0 QPR
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Watford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Birmingham City

With a different manager at the helm on an interim basis, Birmingham may respond in a positive manner after a number of defeats. Nevertheless, we can only back QPR to end their only winless streak, potentially courtesy of a late goal at Loftus Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Queens Park Rangers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Queens Park Rangers.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawBirmingham City
46.6% (-0.262 -0.26) 25.42% (0.026 0.03) 27.97% (0.235 0.23)
Both teams to score 53% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.64% (0.024999999999999 0.02)50.36% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.7% (0.023 0.02)72.3% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)21.61% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.28% (-0.163 -0.16)54.72% (0.162 0.16)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.62% (0.19499999999999 0.19)32.38% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.1% (0.219 0.22)68.89% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 46.6%
    Birmingham City 27.97%
    Draw 25.42%
Queens Park RangersDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.72% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 46.6%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.89% (0.033 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.82% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.97%

How you voted: QPR vs Birmingham

Queens Park Rangers
66.7%
Draw
26.2%
Birmingham City
7.1%
42
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Birmingham
0-0
QPR
Bacuna (54'), Sanderson (67'), Stansfield (90')
Field (45'), Smyth (61')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
QPR
0-1
Birmingham
Chong (3')
Oct 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 18
Birmingham
2-0
QPR
Trusty (4'), Longelo (29')
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 26
Birmingham
1-2
QPR
Aneke (75')
Sunjic (88')
Adomah (14'), Willock (71')
Dickie (59'), Amos (74'), Field (88')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
QPR
2-0
Birmingham
Chair (34', 64')
Dozzell (54')

Sunjic (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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