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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Cardiff City |
40.26% | 27.86% | 31.88% |
Both teams to score 47.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.78% | 58.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.14% | 78.86% |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.69% | 28.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.96% | 64.03% |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.39% | 33.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.74% | 70.25% |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 12% 2-1 @ 8.26% 2-0 @ 7.58% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.76% Total : 40.26% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.51% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 10.37% 1-2 @ 7.14% 0-2 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 48 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 48 |
3 | Burnley | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 30 | 9 | 21 | 47 |
4 | Sunderland | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 44 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 38 |
6 | Watford | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 37 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 36 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 35 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 33 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 30 |
11 | Bristol City | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 30 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 29 |
13 | Millwall | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 28 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 27 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 27 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 25 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 25 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Portsmouth | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 20 |
22 | Hull City | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 19 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 18 |
> Championship Full Table |