Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.