We said: Girona 1-1 Feyenoord
It will be a special occasion at Montilivi as the locals see their side walk out under the Champions League banner for the first time, but their recent results suggest a debut home win may be beyond them.
Girona will be the ninth different Spanish team Feyenoord have faced in Europe, and while the visitors are in no form at all domestically, and have lost on their last three trips to Spain, they could arrest that run here in a tight encounter.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 55.35%. A win for Girona had a probability of 23.06% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Girona win was 2-1 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.