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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Dec 2, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Stuttgart
2 - 0
Werder Bremen

Undav (17'), Guirassy (75' pen.)
Stenzel (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 1-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen were humbled by Leverkusen's dominance during their defeat last weekend, but things do not get much easier for them here with a trip to in-form Stuttgart. The hosts have already won two more matches than in each of the last two seasons. We can envisage them earning a 10th victory in 13 matches by dispatching Werder Bremen on Saturday, but it may be closer than expected. Both sides are better offensively than defensively, so it should be an entertaining clash at MHPArena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 19.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawWerder Bremen
59.71% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 20.56% (0.0030000000000001 0) 19.73% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.58% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.88% (0.026000000000003 0.03)37.12% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.69% (0.027000000000001 0.03)59.31% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)12.14% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.26%37.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.81% (0.037999999999997 0.04)32.19% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.33% (0.041 0.04)68.68% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 59.71%
    Werder Bremen 19.73%
    Draw 20.56%
StuttgartDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.24% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 6.11% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.65%
4-0 @ 3.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.54%
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 59.71%
1-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.91% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 20.56%
1-2 @ 5.29% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 4.43%
0-2 @ 2.51% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2% (0.0039999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 19.73%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen

Stuttgart
85.4%
Draw
6.3%
Werder Bremen
8.3%
48
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 2.30pm
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Werder Bremen
2-2
Stuttgart
Fullkrug (4'), Burke (90+5')
Friedl (16'), Bittencourt (71'), Stark (83'), Ducksch (89')
Endo (38'), Wamangituka (77')
Kalajdzic (59'), Ito (71')
Apr 4, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Stuttgart
1-0
Werder Bremen
Augustinsson (81' og.)
Forster (16')

Mohwald (12'), Eggestein (51')
Dec 6, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Werder Bremen
1-2
Stuttgart
Selke (90+3')
Osako (25'), Chong (40'), Gross (65'), Selke (90+1')
Wamangituka (31' pen., 90+1')
Mavropanos (36'), Mangala (56'), Castro (58'), Wamangituka (90+1')
Feb 22, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 23
Werder Bremen
1-1
Stuttgart
Klaassen (45')
Moisander (83')
Zuber (2')
Kabak (57'), Zieler (82'), Donis (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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