MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 00:01:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 15, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
 
Dortmund logo

Stuttgart
3 - 3
Dortmund

Coulibaly (78'), Vagnomann (84'), Wamangituka (90+7')
Endo (35'), Mavropanos (35'), Tomas (88'), Wamangituka (90+8')
Mavropanos (39')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Haller (26'), Malen (33'), Reyna (90+2')
Bellingham (57'), Reus (71'), Reyna (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Stuttgart 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Despite fighting against relegation, Stuttgart have very rarely been soundly beaten all season long, and we do not expect that to be any different on Saturday. However, Dortmund have made a habit of scoring late winners under Terzic throughout the campaign, and we can envisage another one this weekend as they desperately attempt to keep pace with Bayern at the top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.03%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
StuttgartDrawBorussia Dortmund
33.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 22.34% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 44.59% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 66.81% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.49% (0.032000000000011 0.03)33.51% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.69% (0.036999999999999 0.04)55.31% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25% (0.01100000000001 0.01)20.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62% (0.015000000000001 0.02)53.38% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3% (0.018000000000001 0.02)15.7% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.22% (0.033000000000001 0.03)44.78% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 33.07%
    Borussia Dortmund 44.59%
    Draw 22.34%
StuttgartDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.91%
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 33.07%
1-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 3.26% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.34%
1-2 @ 8.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 5.42% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-3 @ 4.26% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 3.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.97% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 44.59%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Dortmund

Stuttgart
2.0%
Draw
7.8%
Borussia Dortmund
90.2%
102
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Dortmund
5-0
Stuttgart
Bellingham (2', 53'), Sule (13'), Reyna (44'), Moukoko (72')
Ozcan (45+1')
Apr 8, 2022 7.30pm
Stuttgart
0-2
Dortmund

Mangala (45+3'), Karazor (86')
Brandt (12', 71')
Bellingham (82')
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-1
Stuttgart
Malen (56'), Reus (85')
Massimo (63')
Coulibaly (35'), Anton (48')
Apr 10, 2021 5.30pm
Stuttgart
2-3
Dortmund
Kalajdzic (17'), Didavi (78')
Sosa (21'), Forster (28'), Kempf (50'), Anton (82')
Bellingham (47'), Reus (52'), Knauff (80')
Hummels (31'), Hitz (90+2')
Dec 12, 2020 2.30pm
Dortmund
1-5
Stuttgart
Reyna (39')
Can (26'), Morey (66')
Wamangituka (26' pen., 53'), Forster (60'), Coulibaly (63'), Gonzalez (90+1')
Mavropanos (28'), Endo (40'), Wamangituka (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!