MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 10:39:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Augsburg logo

Mainz
1 - 0
Augsburg

van den Berg (43')
Jae-sung (35'), Kohr (90+7'), van den Berg (90+14')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dahmen (45+5'), Gouweleeuw (90+8')
Pedersen (90+12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-1 Mainz
Sunday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 1-2 Augsburg

Mainz have been very poor this season and look destined for the drop unless they can manage a major turnaround in the second half of the league campaign. However, having recorded only one victory in 21 matches to date, it is difficult to make much of a case for them in this one. This will certainly not be an easy match for Augsburg, but we are backing them to claim the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Augsburg has a probability of 26.47% and a draw has a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Augsburg win is 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.43%).

Result
Mainz 05DrawAugsburg
49.3% (0.526 0.53) 24.22% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 26.47% (-0.485 -0.48)
Both teams to score 55.69% (-0.268 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.73% (-0.16 -0.16)46.27% (0.156 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.43% (-0.152 -0.15)68.56% (0.148 0.15)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (0.149 0.15)18.83% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.72% (0.249 0.25)50.27% (-0.252 -0.25)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.61% (-0.458 -0.46)31.38% (0.454 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.24% (-0.532 -0.53)67.76% (0.529 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 49.3%
    Augsburg 26.47%
    Draw 24.22%
Mainz 05DrawAugsburg
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.112 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.132 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.095 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 49.3%
1-1 @ 11.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.91% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.22%
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 26.47%

How you voted: Mainz vs Augsburg

Mainz 05
31.0%
Draw
31.0%
Augsburg
37.9%
29
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Augsburg
2-1
Mainz
Demirovic (15', 45')
Dorsch (90+1'), Beljo (90+5')
Engels (62')
Ajorque (6')
Gruda (74'), Zentner (77'), Jae-sung (90+7')
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Mainz
3-1
Augsburg
Jae-sung (21', 52'), Onisiwo (24')
Demirovic (28' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Augsburg
1-2
Mainz
Demirovic (35')
Gouweleeuw (3'), Rexhbecaj (29')
Onisiwo (31'), Jae-sung (90+3')
Bell (29'), Burkardt (62')
Apr 6, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Augsburg
2-1
Mainz
Gouweleeuw (11' pen.), Vargas (56')
Gruezo (75'), Gouweleeuw (76'), Gumny (80')
Widmer (54')
Bell (15'), Widmer (83')
Oct 22, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
Mainz
4-1
Augsburg
Onisiwo (10'), Bell (15'), Burkardt (26', 71')
Caricol (70')
Zeqiri (69')
Oxford (8'), Gouweleeuw (63'), Vargas (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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