MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 04:01:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Leipzig logo

FC Koln
1 - 5
RB Leipzig

Adamyan (18')
Finkgrafe (49'), Alidou (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Simons (15'), Openda (63', 67'), Haidara (70'), Poulsen (82')
Simons (62'), Haidara (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-3 FC Koln
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-3 RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig bounced back well from their Champions League disappointment last week and have an excellent opportunity to move into the top four in the league, with Dortmund taking on Frankfurt later in the weekend. Koln have lost three of their last four home games, and we feel they will struggle to avoid another defeat in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawRB Leipzig
29.38% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 22.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 47.63% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 62.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.42% (0.0049999999999955 0)38.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.12% (0.0039999999999978 0)60.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)25.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)60.16% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.47% (0.015000000000001 0.02)16.53% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.72% (0.028000000000006 0.03)46.28% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 29.38%
    RB Leipzig 47.63%
    Draw 22.99%
FC KolnDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 7.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 3.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 29.38%
1-1 @ 10.35%
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 9.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 4.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.83% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 47.63%

How you voted: FC Koln vs RB Leipzig

FC Koln
10.4%
Draw
6.0%
RB Leipzig
83.6%
134
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
RB Leipzig
6-0
FC Koln
Werner (15' pen.), Openda (40', 45+3'), Raum (43'), Sesko (88'), Baumgartner (90+1')
Simakan (19'), Rose (36'), Klostermann (79')

Chabot (29'), Olesen (72'), Baumgart (82'), Kilian (85')
Olesen (80')
Feb 4, 2023 2.30pm
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
RB Leipzig
2-2
FC Koln
Werner (36'), Nkunku (56')
Henrichs (89')
Szoboszlai (45+1')
Dietz (40'), Gvardiol (72' og.)
Thielmann (18'), Hubers (48'), Adamyan (76'), Kainz (79')
Feb 11, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
RB Leipzig
3-1
FC Koln
Nkunku (25'), Olmo (54'), Angelino (57')
Gvardiol (62')
Lemperle (90+1')
Thielmann (9'), Hubers (35')
Sep 18, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
FC Koln
1-1
RB Leipzig
Modeste (53')
Czichos (17'), Mere (76'), Schmitz (79')
Haidara (71')
Klostermann (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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