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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Nov 24, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Bayern logo

FC Koln
0 - 1
Bayern

FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Match Report

Harry Kane breaks two fresh goalscoring records with the only goal of the game as Bayern Munich beat Koln 1-0 to move top of the Bundesliga table.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, November 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 4-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, November 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 55.96%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.95%) and 1-3 (6.79%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawBayern Munich
23.51% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 20.52% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 55.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 65.63% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.23% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)31.76% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.71% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)53.29% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)25.85% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)60.82% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.51% (0.0010000000000048 0)11.48% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.66% (0.0019999999999953 0)36.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 23.51%
    Bayern Munich 55.96%
    Draw 20.52%
FC KolnDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 4.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 2.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.65%
3-0 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 23.51%
1-1 @ 8.69%
2-2 @ 6.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 2.97%
3-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 20.52%
1-2 @ 9.41%
0-2 @ 6.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 6.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.42%
0-3 @ 5.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 4.59%
1-4 @ 3.67%
0-4 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 2.48%
1-5 @ 1.59%
0-5 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-4 @ 1.12%
2-5 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 55.96%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Bayern

FC Koln
9.6%
Draw
9.6%
Bayern Munich
80.7%
83
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
FC Koln
1-2
Bayern
Ljubicic (81' pen.)
Schmitz (24'), Ljubicic (81'), Thielmann (90')
Coman (8'), Musiala (89')
Jan 24, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Bayern
1-1
FC Koln
Kimmich (90')
Skhiri (4')
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
FC Koln
0-4
Bayern

Kilian (9')
Lewandowski (9', 62', 74'), Tolisso (25')
Aug 22, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
3-2
FC Koln
Lewandowski (50'), Gnabry (59', 71')
Sule (76')
Modeste (60'), Uth (62')
Ljubicic (20')
Feb 27, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 23
Bayern
5-1
FC Koln
Maxim Choupo-Moting (18'), Lewandowski (33', 65'), Gnabry (82', 86')
Alaba (22'), Sane (45+1')
Skhiri (49')
Czichos (45')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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