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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 55.96%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.95%) and 1-3 (6.79%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Bayern Munich |
23.51% ( -0.01) | 20.52% ( -0) | 55.96% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 65.63% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.23% ( -0) | 31.76% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.71% ( -0) | 53.29% ( -0) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.15% ( -0.01) | 25.85% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.18% ( -0.01) | 60.82% ( 0) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.51% ( 0) | 11.48% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.66% ( 0) | 36.33% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 5.88% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.02% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.72% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.65% 3-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.19% Total : 23.51% | 1-1 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.97% 3-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.43% Total : 20.52% | 1-2 @ 9.41% 0-2 @ 6.95% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.79% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.42% 0-3 @ 5.02% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.59% 1-4 @ 3.67% 0-4 @ 2.71% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.48% 1-5 @ 1.59% 0-5 @ 1.18% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.12% 2-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.97% Total : 55.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
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