Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 19, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
BayArena
B. Leverkusen2 - 3Mainz
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-3 Monaco
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Augsburg
Saturday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 Mainz 05
With Leverkusen losing to Monaco less than 72 hours prior to kickoff against Mainz on Sunday, we believe the visitors can claim a positive result at the BayArena. Svensson's side have been decent away from home this season, with their front three undoubtedly capable of causing the hosts significant issues in transition. Both teams may settle for a share of the spoils should the match be heading in that direction. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 57.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 20.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Mainz 05 |
57.2% ( 0.3) | 22.45% ( -0.09) | 20.34% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 54.03% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
