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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 59.02%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 20.8% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.83%) and 1-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (5.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
59.02% | 20.18% | 20.8% |
Both teams to score 62.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.33% | 33.67% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.51% | 55.49% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.74% | 11.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.15% | 35.85% |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.83% | 29.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.89% | 65.11% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
2-1 @ 9.65% 2-0 @ 7.83% 1-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 7.03% 3-0 @ 5.7% 3-2 @ 4.33% 4-1 @ 3.84% 4-0 @ 3.11% 4-2 @ 2.36% 5-1 @ 1.68% 5-0 @ 1.36% 5-2 @ 1.03% 4-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.96% Total : 59.02% | 1-1 @ 8.84% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 3.28% 3-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.18% | 1-2 @ 5.44% 0-1 @ 4.05% 0-2 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.11% Total : 20.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |