Brasileiro | Gameweek 31
Oct 9, 2022 at 8pm UK
Castelao
Fortaleza2 - 0Avai
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Avai.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Fortaleza
Wednesday, October 5 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro
Wednesday, October 5 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Avai 1-2 Botafogo
Friday, October 7 at 12am in Brasileiro
Friday, October 7 at 12am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
28
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Avai had a probability of 17.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Avai |
58.89% ( -1.09) | 23.56% ( 0.4) | 17.55% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 45.92% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
