Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Excel Mouscron win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Royal Excel Mouscron win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.