Leuven

2 - 3

Mechelen

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Leuven win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.