Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KV Oostende win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a KV Oostende win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Royal Excel Mouscron win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KV Oostende would win this match.