Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 14.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Royal Excel Mouscron win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
