Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Mechelen win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gent in this match.
