Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Elfsborg had a probability of 17.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.47%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Elfsborg win it was 1-0 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
