Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 57.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 20.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Kalmar win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.