Guinea-Bissau

5 - 1

Sao Tome

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 67.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 11.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.1%) and 3-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guinea-Bissau would win this match.