MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 16:35:38| >> :60:143:143:
AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 28, 2023 at 10am UK
BG Stadium

Pathum Utd
1 - 3
Ulsan

Sergeev (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Praisuwan (20' og.), Ludwigson (27'), Myung-jae (62')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between BG Pathum United and Ulsan Hyundai.

Form, Standings, Stats

BG Pathum United

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Last Game: Kawasaki 4-2 Pathum Utd
Tuesday, November 7 at 10am in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Ulsan Hyundai

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Johor Darul 2-1 Ulsan
Tuesday, November 7 at 12pm in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ulsan Hyundai win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ulsan Hyundai win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest BG Pathum United win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ulsan Hyundai would win this match.

Result
BG Pathum UnitedDrawUlsan Hyundai
31.86% (-0.111 -0.11) 24.16% (-0.133 -0.13) 43.98% (0.244 0.24)
Both teams to score 59.52% (0.424 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.15% (0.573 0.57)42.84% (-0.574 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.75% (0.566 0.57)65.24% (-0.56700000000001 -0.57)
BG Pathum United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (0.212 0.21)25.91% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.1% (0.284 0.28)60.9% (-0.285 -0.28)
Ulsan Hyundai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.32% (0.34 0.34)19.67% (-0.342 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.34% (0.551 0.55)51.65% (-0.553 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    BG Pathum United 31.86%
    Ulsan Hyundai 43.98%
    Draw 24.16%
BG Pathum UnitedDrawUlsan Hyundai
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.88% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.65% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.09% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 31.86%
1-1 @ 11.19% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.1% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 9.1% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.29% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-2 @ 6.74% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.93% (0.062 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.65% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.33% (0.062 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.01% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.025 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.35% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 43.98%

Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 11am
Group Stage
Ulsan
3-1
Pathum Utd
Adam (28', 73', 78')
Jung (67')
Stewart (41')
Veerachart (40')
Jul 11, 2021 3pm
Group Stage
Pathum Utd
0-2
Ulsan

Thongkiri (84')
Kim (31'), Qazaishvili (87')
Kim (14'), Bulthuis (28'), Kim (33')
Jun 29, 2021 11am
Group Stage
Ulsan
2-0
Pathum Utd
Kim (24'), Hinterseer (45+2')
Qazaishvili (80'), Hyung-min (90+2')

Diogo (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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