Australian A-League | Gameweek 5
Nov 6, 2022 at 2am UK
Westpac Stadium
Wellington4 - 1Macarthur
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Macarthur.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-2 Wellington
Sunday, October 30 at 6am in Australian A-League
Sunday, October 30 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 2-3 Sydney FC
Saturday, October 29 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, October 29 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Macarthur |
34.72% ( 1.11) | 24.47% ( 0.13) | 40.8% ( -1.24) |
| Both teams to score 59.36% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
