Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 55.6%. A win for Western United had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.4%) and 1-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.