Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.