World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 31, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Arena L'viv

Ukraine
1 - 1
Kazakhstan

Yaremchuk (20')
Zinchenko (89'), Marlos (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Muzhikov (59')
Alip (6'), Abiken (36'), Muzhikov (43'), Vorogovskiy (62'), Karimov (70'), Pokatilov (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Ukraine and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 16.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Ukraine	Draw	Kazakhstan
62.02%	21.29%	16.7%

Both teams to score 51.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.52%

45.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.18%

67.82%

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.89%

14.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.26%

41.74%

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.49%

40.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.88%

77.12%

Score Analysis

Ukraine 62.01%

Kazakhstan 16.7%

Draw 21.29%

Ukraine	Draw	Kazakhstan
1-0 @ 11.19% 2-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 6.47% 4-0 @ 3.5% 4-1 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.92% 4-2 @ 1.43% 5-0 @ 1.37% 5-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.71% Total : 62.01%	1-1 @ 10.11% 0-0 @ 5.72% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.29%	0-1 @ 5.17% 1-2 @ 4.57% 0-2 @ 2.33% 1-3 @ 1.38% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.9% Total : 16.7%